A strong storm will move through on Monday, bringing a strong south wind to Long Island and a few gusty thunderstorms. Damaging winds are expected along with localized flooding from the heavy rain. Temperatures will soar into the upper 50s and low 60s on Monday and then crash into the 30s for the middle of the week.

There is a marginal risk (level 1 out of 5) for strong and severe storms for Nassau and the western edge of Suffolk County on Monday that has been issued by the Storm Prediction Center. The main threats are damaging wind gusts for 50 to 55 mph, with isolated spots possibly seeing 60 mph.

There is also a wind advisory issued by the National Weather Service that will go into effect at 2 p.m. on Monday until 4 a.m. Tuesday morning. Sustained winds of 15 to 25 mph with wind gusts 50 to 55 mph are expected across the island.

A surge of warm air will arrive with a few gusty thunderstorms for early Monday morning commuters. Dress for rain, wind and temperatures in the 50s during the morning.

Early in the morning, near sunrise, we are expecting the first round of storms to move across the island.

Spotty pockets of rain are possible through the late morning and midday, but this will be your best chance for dry time. High temperatures may approach 60 degrees with wind gusts occasionally reaching 40 mph.

Heavy rain will return in the evening, mainly after 3 p.m., with thunderstorms possible. There's a risk of flash flooding on roads for the evening commute. Rain totals between 1 and 2 inches are expected, with locally higher amounts possible.

It's a dry and cold Tuesday for St. Patrick's Day with temperatures in the 30s for most of the day. Afternoon highs will briefly reach the low 40s, but winds will be gusty, reaching 25-30 mph, bringing wind chill values down to about 30 degrees.

Wednesday is the coldest day in the forecast and will be dry. Thursday and Friday are more seasonable and likely dry, but rain is expected to return for Saturday with mainly cloudy skies.