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The trauma of gun violence not only affects victims, it also affects their families, friends, first responders and the community.

News 12's Elizabeth Hashagen was joined by Dr. Jose Prince and Mike Lawlor to talk about gun violence prevention.

<b>GUIDE:</b> <a href="https://longisland.news12.com/guide-resources-for-families-to-talk-about-school-shootings">Resources for families to
talk about school shootings</a>

New Jersey

NJ Weather Stories

Weather stories

NJ | Weather

NJFORECAST

It's going to be good as we go into your Sunday to make sure you charge up your devices as we go into the evening, just in case we do get into a power outage here. If you have a generator, make sure that's ready to go as well. Here's a look at our Sunday storm notes. So we have downpours here, especially during the evening hours into the overnight gusts will be strongest overnight as well, 30 to 50 miles an hour. But if you see a thunderstorm, wind gusts could be higher than that. And in terms of rain, 1.5 to 3 inches of rain is expected with this. We look at our temperatures right now on our Saturday evening, around 50 degrees everywhere. Here it is quite mild actually out we are at 53 in Elizabeth, 53 in cold snack, 52 down in Asbury Park on the boardwalk here overnight, lows going to be above average forties for much of the state thirties north and west of interstate 287. Some fog will be around. We go into your Sunday here, dry during the morning. So if you want to do anything in the morning outside, you're fine. Then as we get towards mid, these showers come through, they will get heavier and steadier as we go into the afternoon and into the evening. And you see a lot of these bright oranges and reds as we go into our Sunday night here, that is where we could see some thunderstorms. That's where we could see wind gusts, 6065 miles an hour that could create some power outages or wind damage. As we go forward in time. This will get out of here early Monday morning. Little bit of snow possible. Northwest corner of the state during the early part of the morning commute. But otherwise we're dry as we go into your Monday here, rainfall totals won't be that much during the day. But then as we go overnight, we add about another 1 to 2 inches and you end up 1.5 to 3. Here's a look at your wind gusts as you go forward into Sunday night. Again, those gusts 35 to 50 with locally higher gusts. Your 10 day forecast looks like this. We are in a storm watch as we go into your Sunday night to early Monday. Otherwise we're dry for the rest of the week with the exception of possibly a few flurries on Wednesday after the break. Our De La Cruz spoke with a nonprofit in New York that is

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Weather

Brooklyn

BK | Weather

BXFORECAST

Welcome back. We're checking back in with storm watch team, meteorologist, Alex Calamia, Alex. You were actually saying today is going to be a little warmer than the last few days. Yeah, it is 56. We love to see that and we've got the sunshine too at least, are we this morning? But the clouds will thicken a bit. So let's talk about that. Um We definitely are expecting fifties, which is beautiful all afternoon. But then we've got to talk about the elephant in the room which is Sunday in the morning. This time tomorrow we have drizzle, very light winds. Not a big problem. As far as that goes early in the morning, steady rain though develops throughout the later half of the afternoon. Dinner time could be a wash and the evening will also come with really gusty wind that could reach 40 MPH. So, so let's just take a screenshot of this. Just enjoy your Saturday. Enjoy even Sunday morning. We don't have any huge problems. Highs should reach Loga mid F because of that south breeze. Places like Marine Park, Coney Island rockaways. You're all looking a little bit cooler than just a little inland Bushwick in the mid fifties tonight for a little bit of fog. It looks good though. We're dry for dinner time and we're dry even very early Sunday morning. But around this time tomorrow, we will see a few quick little spritzes and that will continue until lunch. So the first half of Sunday is not a total washout, but you should have the umbrella all day. Sunday. The wind is going to pick up and temperatures actually continue to climb after the sun sets. We probably don't hit 60 until 67 o'clock at night, which is just ridiculous. And obviously that does come with some problems because all of that air is literally fueling these storms. Now, we're not necessarily listening to thunder with this, but it will be lots of heavy rain, gusty wind through, I would say about dinner all the way to bedtime and even after midnight, look at some of this wind gust at midnight, we're near 30 to 40 mile per hour. Gusts right along the Atlantic communities there. So she bay could see 40 mile per hour gusts JFK. If you know anybody coming in from a flight that's going to be a problem Sunday evening, Monday morning commute. It is breezy but it is dry so no problems for a Monday morning commute. Latest model guidance showing possibly 2 to 3 inches of rain. I do think some of that's a little over exaggerated. Another model showing still two inches of rain. So definitely rain is the name of the game. We're going to have plenty of it and unfortunately that could cause some localized flooding. It is dry though for the whole work week. Alright.

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Westchester

WC | Weather

HVFORECAST

The Cortland Manor Community Center. All right, when you could go outside and make any donations that you want. Let's go right to meteorologist, Alex Calamia to tell you the best times. Hey, Alex. Hey, Jen. Anytime today looks good. We're really pretty pleasant. Your highs today reach mid ff tomorrow. Upper fifties, definitely temperature is not the problem, but the rain is, we have showers in the morning, nothing huge there, but then a soaking in the afternoon. Here's the timing here. So obviously very quiet. Look at this forties, mid forties, even a few upper forties at seven o'clock. So you wear a jacket, you're good to go. You could leave the heavy jacket, you could leave the gloves at home. It's not gonna be the that kind of chill and the wind is very calm. That could actually bring some fog back into the picture overnight. But aside from that, you are problem free in the weather department for your Saturday evening, Sunday morning. Different story. It's mainly quiet early. But once we hit lunchtime, 287 southward gets in on some soaking rain and the wind isn't a problem at first. But by four o'clock keep in mind it's a sunset time. Now we're talking some really solid heavy rain. 56 o'clock, really solid heavy rain. Eight o'clock still raining. It looks like this is gonna set up over Westchester County right now. But Putnam Rockland, even Dutchess and Orange County are getting in on a pretty decent swath. Your risk is lower in Ulster County, but everybody gets in on at least some really solid heavy rain. Sunday in the evening and early overnight, there are gonna be a few snow flakes Monday morning, most of that north and west of Westchester County, but everybody will have to keep an eye out for the wind on Monday, although the rain won't be a problem. So your flash flood risk as of now for Sunday is slight. So we have a slight risk as a level two out of four risk for flooding two inches possible across a good chunk of the Hudson Valley where you're seeing the red that's locally three. So this is one model and then this next, it's called the her high resolution rapid refresh. This is a high resolution model showing you about two inches of rain for Westchester County, a lower resolution very reliable model, two inches of rain. So we're looking at lots of consistency here, but we're seeing 2 to 3 inches of rain in the lower Hudson Valley. Good news is rest of the work week, no problems.

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Long Island

LI | Weather

LIFORECAST

And the radar is all quiet behind you j but we're already starting to see the clouds roll in. Still pretty nice evening. We're expecting fifties all the way through the rest of it. And then we drop it into the forties when the sun sets pretty good deal for December. But we do have a flood watch and a high wind watch in effect across the island. Now, both of them go in effect for tomorrow. We're expecting 2 to 3 inches of rain. So that's your flood watch. It could bring flooding in the afternoon and in the overnight and gusts up to 45 you see, especially parts of eastern Nassau into Suffolk at the worst and it looks like the timing here gonna be six pm to midnight. That's what I'm looking at for the squall line to pass through and deliver some potential power outages. So let's bring you right to Sunday in the morning time. Not too bad. We have stray showers, not a bad breakfast or lunch, but then right around noonish, we're gonna start seeing some downpours and it's an on and off rain at that point. We're also looking at wind which starts to pick up to the 30 mile per hour range. Now, these are gusts and a gust is a quick little burst of wind as opposed to sustained winds, which is an average kind of wind speed. So we're seeing quick little bursts of 40 MPH that could knock a tree branch down or two around 67 o'clock, the wind is gonna be coming in with some really heavy rain around 1011 at night into midnight one o'clock or so. This latest model is actually keeping the rain around for the early Monday morning commuters and then things clear out by about 78 o'clock in the morning. So a little bit better there. So the worst of the rain gonna be with a flooding risk at 5 to 2 a.m. and then we see wind at its worst right around midnight. Things look good for the rest of the work week though. It's gonna be chilly.

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Hudson Valley

HV | Weather

Bronx

BX | Weather

Connecticut

CT | Weather

CTFORECAST

Heavy rains moving on into Western Connecticut tomorrow afternoon and evening through the overnight, what are we looking at? 2 to 3 inches of rain could cause some street flooding, especially north and west of the Merritt Parkway, windy conditions. Look at that gusts up to 40 to 50 MPH. So secure those Santa Claus Inflatables, make sure to have anything that's loose outside, secure it maybe put it in the garage or the shiz or shed as well because this is going to be with us from Sunday afternoon through early Monday morning. Just lots of rain on the way. But today, the complete opposite forties and fifties, partly sunny skies this afternoon, light wind out of the south and east, mild as well, especially along the sound if you have to do anything outside, do it today because it is going to be beautiful because tomorrow going to start to see those showers pushing towards the afternoon and evening, heavier after sunset, especially overnight. That's where we're going to see the strong wind gusts, even some thunder and lightning along with heavy rain and then things are going to get drier into the late morning. But still real breeze as well. So we're keeping our eye on things as they develop. We'll have it all weekend long because all this rain is pushing on in the moisture coming up from Appalachia that's moving on in towards us here in Western Connecticut for the day. Tomorrow. 1 to 3 inches of rain, especially down towards Orange, Bridgeport up the 91 corridor as well. Could see plenty of the wet stuff with gusty winds 20 to 40 plus MPH, Sunday evening. And then yes, some more heavy rain starting into the early to mid afternoon. That'll be persistent from dinner time into the overnight. Definitely just take it slow, take it easy if you have to do any traveling tomorrow morning should be the latest you should go because of all this heavy rain coming across the region. And then we are going to be seeing this linger into early Monday much drier though Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday as temperatures will be dropping from the fifties and sixties today and tomorrow forties, Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. That is a look at your hyper local forecast.

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The New Normal: Gun violence prevention

So Mike, I'm gonna start with you were 48 days into this year and there have been 72 mass shootings, that data coming from the gun violence archive. And you know, when you, when you look at just, I mean that's more than one a day in America. Yeah, it is. But you know, it's important to put this into context, right? Mass shootings or typically defined the shootings where more than four people get shot is a very small, very small subset of all of the gun violence in the country. You know, the biggest portion of gun violence is suicide. And almost all those are perpetrated by people who legally own their guns. So it's a much more complicated problem. A lot of them are these urban group and gang related shootings. There's a fair number of domestic violence situations. Many of those are murder suicides as well. So in order to understand the american problem of gun violence, which is really unique in the world, You need to put things in perspective. I think our attention is drawn to the mass shootings because these are completely senseless, random Selected victims. But beyond that, you know, in our own neighborhoods in our own homes, often times this is a real threat without any strangers showing up to shoot people. Right? And when you think about that, to your point, Dr. Prince, I know Pew Research Center took a look at this, 44,222 people died in 2020, but 54% of them were suicide by gun. Yeah, no, I think mike laid out the case very cleanly for why this is a public health problem to think about just like any other disease that you might suffer from, uh, depending on what causes it and the situations your treatments are different. The focus is different. You don't just say I'm sick and take the same antibiotic for everything. So that's part of the work we've been doing at the North. Well, Health Center for Gun Violence prevention is taking this on as a public health approach. As many of our colleagues have looked at this across the country. So thinking about it the way we tackled car seat safety and you know, cars were the number one killer of Children in this country. Um, and it's not anymore because we have seatbelts, we have car seat safety. We've done things to change that and look at the different problems same with smoking. It used to be that I couldn't get on an airplane without somebody smoking next to me or um, you know, I'm Cuban, my father smoking huge cigars. It's, we culturally have changed so much and how we think about smoking and that has to do with education research and trying to make an impact on the root cause of a disease problem for people from a public health point of view. And also when you take a look, you know at lawmakers and what they're trying to do. Let's listen to senator Murphy from Connecticut. The quickest way to make our country safer. The quickest way to stop a lot of this gun crime in our cities is to have a universal background checks requirement. That's what we're reintroducing today. It's supported by 90% of the American public. So when you hear that Mike, what are your thoughts? Well, I don't disagree. You know, here in Connecticut where I am, we have among the most comprehensive gun laws in the country and I'd say the same about new york state, New Jersey massachusetts. And it's no surprise that those four states have the four lowest rates of firearm deaths in the country. I mean, uh, and there are a lot of places in the country where although there's a national background check required for purchasing guns from a licensed gun dealer. Um, and there's many states you can privately buy and sell guns, no questions asked, not even tell your name. And on top of that there's a number of states, like for example, texas which have recently said you can carry a gun around, you don't need a permit. No background check. No, no training. So I mean, I think that's part of the problem. So I think what Senator Murphy is saying and I 100% agree with them is that every state should, or the federal government should adopt a role similar to what Connecticut has, where you cannot legally buy any gun or any ammunition for that matter unless you already have a license issued by the police and to get that. You need to go through a background check and training and face to face meeting with police so they can get a sense that there's a real problem. I think that's sensible gun owners. People want to own guns have a constitutional right to do that. But we have an obligation as a government, as a matter of public policy to ensure that irresponsible people, uh, don't have easy access to guns. Yeah, I wanna, I wanna also talk about the school component in all of this. And we have seen even this week, um, several school districts deciding to add armed guards to their schools. Obviously, after what happened at MSU, let's listen to one of those superintendents. Well, one of the things we've been doing is collaborating with our local precinct. And one of the things that has become abundantly clear is that in the unlikely in the unfortunate event of an active shooter situation, there's no guarantee there would be on school grounds within seconds and we don't have minutes to spare. We don't have seconds to spare. So in conversation with the Board of Education, we determine the best route to go would be to have armed security on our grounds in the event. And if a situation like this had happened, we will be able to respond in a very timely fashion. Alright, so dr Prince, I wanted your thoughts on that. You know, I think on the one I commend anyone who is trying to say make safe communities around us and think about different ways. I think this points out a blind spot for us because the research is not really there on what are the most effective ways to make places safe. What are the most effective ways to respond? We've been limited in how we can study this for so many decades in our country. And again, a disease that kills so many. We should be pouring research in understanding what are the most effective ways to do this. Um So I also would like to say, I think it's really important that we do multiple things at one time. So, so there is a sense of immediacy that we need to take some measures now, but I don't think that should distract us from the longer view of what kind of society we want to hand our Children off and what kind of a world we think Children should grow up in should they is the only response that we turn schools into prisons where we control everything around them in that way. And I'd like to think that we could do better together. Can I just add one thing there. It is worth noting that over the last five or so years, every single school shooting that's taken place has happened in a place where armed guards were on duty. Right? You know, I think back to columbine, there was two armed uh, school resource officers in columbine High school. Neither one of them was able to prevent that. And so it's not clear that that really would prevent a shooting. It it feels good, but you know, for a school district that's a big financial decision to make. And at the same time while we know for sure, like at michigan state University the other night where they had literally hundreds of sworn police officers working on that campus at that time, uh, and the gunman was able to do what he did. Yeah, I know the Justice Department Mike is sending out more than $200 million 1999, did you think that, you know, 2023 we'd still be having this conversation in the way that we are. I did less so in Connecticut than in the rest of the country. But you know, it is worth noting that 19 states have now adopted a red flag law, including some states, you wouldn't predict, for example, Florida and Indiana. And you know, the research has come in for the most part, this law prevents suicides. You know, it's interesting fact. Um, and in many cases here in Connecticut when the, when these warrants are issued. I mean, don't forget to get the warrant, You have to have evidence that someone poses an imminent threat to themselves or to others and they have access to firearms when and that has to be a determination made by the police and then signed off on by a judge and when they seize these guns. Oftentimes it's not just one gun. These are people have, home house is filled with guns and filled with ammunition. And you know, in the aftermath of these incidents, you can see all the warning signs were there, it was very clear, something very bad was about to happen. So, um, it's been effective and you know, we'll see how many more states adopted.

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