Many meteorologists talk about the 40/70 benchmark.
This location is 40 degrees latitude and 70 degrees longitude. It is not a random point. It is a critical global location for forecasting east coast snowstorms effecting our area.
When storms pass directly over this point and other items, like temperature, are in place, we get a big snowstorm. If a storm passes closer to the coast, or inside that benchmark, we see more chances of rain. If a storm passes east of this point, we get a glancing blow with light snow or flurries.
Right now, our long-range models are leaning toward the last scenario....a near miss. One other model is calling for a total miss. There is still plenty of time to watch this, and we will.